SC Paderborn 07
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vs
Monday, 25 May 2026
18:30 GMT
VfL Wolfsburg
Away
over 2.5
Bet365 Odds
@ 1.85
AI Probability
60%
Expected Value
+11%
Why this has edge
Bet365 implied
AI estimate
The bookmaker prices this at 54%. Our model estimates 60% — a 6-point gap in our favour. That's where the +11% expected-value edge comes from.
+11% EV means this pick is statistically worth £0.11 profit per £1 staked over thousands of bets at these odds. Single bets can win or lose — edge compounds over the long run.
away win
Bet365 Odds
@ 2.02
AI Probability
51%
Expected Value
+3%
Why this has edge
Bet365 implied
AI estimate
Small edge here: market 50% vs AI 51%. +3% EV still mathematically profitable over many bets at these odds.
+3% EV means this pick is statistically worth £0.03 profit per £1 staked over thousands of bets at these odds. Single bets can win or lose — edge compounds over the long run.
draw
Bet365 Odds
@ 3.50
AI Probability
29%
Expected Value
+1%
Why this has edge
Bet365 implied
AI estimate
Small edge here: market 29% vs AI 29%. +1% EV still mathematically profitable over many bets at these odds.
+1% EV means this pick is statistically worth £0.01 profit per £1 staked over thousands of bets at these odds. Single bets can win or lose — edge compounds over the long run.
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